It is difficult to find a person who is not interested in the question of what the coming winter will be like.
City dwellers are waiting for deep snowdrifts to go skiing or sledding, while summer residents are concerned about the fate of plants that do not survive the winter well without snow.
So, should we expect real winter weather from the coming winter? Tatyana Chetyrko, head of the meteorological forecasting service of the Republican Center for Hydrometeorology, Control of Radioactive Pollution and Environmental Monitoring of the Ministry of Natural Resources, spoke at a press conference in the House of Press.
Long-term forecast
First of all, the specialist noted that modern forecasting tools do not allow predicting the weather with an accuracy of a month in advance.
It is possible to predict temperature anomalies, the situation with precipitation, to understand how much warmer and colder the temperature will be in a particular region, as well as to make a forecast about humidity indicators.
And the most accurate forecasts are made within one week.
What to expect from winter
As for precipitation and deep snowdrifts, there is a more than 50% chance that the coming winter will be warm, the specialist noted.
But predicting precipitation is more difficult than predicting air temperature.
Given the elevated winter temperatures, precipitation "in mixed and liquid phases" should be expected.
For the realities of the Belarusian winter, it is more like wet snow.
We can only hope for a "long-term, high snow cover." But we must remember what was said about long-term forecasts.
This means that there will be severe frosts, and “high temperatures, and snow cover.”